Jacksonville
W-L: (13- 6) PR = 89.0354Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 14- 8 221 H Rider Metro Atlan ( 1-16, 72.3) 17- 4 227 H Brown Ivy League ( 8- 7, 89.2) 16-10 301 H Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 15-13 307 A Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 13-14 310 A Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 10-13 319 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Su (10- 8, 81.1) 10- 6 321 H Queens Atlantic Su ( 3-12, 76.7) 13- 8 326 A Delaware Atlantic Su (13- 5, 87.5) 13-14 328 A Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 19- 7 402 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Su ( 8-10, 74.6) 19- 6 406 H Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 9-10 411 A Austin Peay Atlantic Su ( 4-13, 71.2) 21- 5 415 A Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 11-12 418 H Lindenwood Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 77.1) 14- 3 422 A Stetson Atlantic Su ( 3-13, 75.5) 20- 6 430 H Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 17- 3 502 H Delaware Atlantic Su (13- 5, 87.5) 16-11 508 A Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Campbell 14- 8 6 9 - -2.67
221 H Rider 17- 4 13 18 -1.00
227 H Brown 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.81
301 H Marquette 15-13 2 4 - -2.40
307 A Towson 13-14 -1 4 -- -4.57
310 A Navy 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.36
319 H Coastal Carolina 10- 6 4 9 -- -5.26
321 H Queens 13- 8 5 14 --- -8.67
326 A Delaware 13-14 -1 0 -1.15
328 A Liberty 19- 7 12 6 +++ 6.01
402 H Kennesaw State 19- 6 13 16 -1.00
406 H Colorado 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.51
411 A Austin Peay 21- 5 16 16 0.00
415 A Florida 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 4.75
418 H Lindenwood 14- 3 11 13 - -2.28
422 A Stetson 20- 6 14 12 1.88
430 H Liberty 17- 3 14 9 ++ 5.27
502 H Delaware 16-11 5 3 + 2.11
508 A Colorado 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Queens 13- 8 5 14 --- -8.67 307 A Towson 13-14 -1 4 -- -4.57 319 H Coastal Carolina 10- 6 4 9 -- -5.26 207 H Campbell 14- 8 6 9 - -2.67 301 H Marquette 15-13 2 4 - -2.40 418 H Lindenwood 14- 3 11 13 - -2.28 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Liberty 19- 7 12 6 +++ 6.01 227 H Brown 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.81 415 A Florida 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 4.75 430 H Liberty 17- 3 14 9 ++ 5.27 508 A Colorado 9-10 -1 -6 ++ 5.24 310 A Navy 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.36 406 H Colorado 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.51 502 H Delaware 16-11 5 3 + 2.11 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 14- 8 -18.17 22.00 -1.37 0.91 37.63
3 H Rider ( 1-16, 72.3) 17- 4 -27.64 12.52 -1.37 0.91 20.34
3 H Brown ( 8- 7, 89.2) 16-10 -10.69 29.48 -1.37 0.91 51.26
3 H Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 15-13 -13.90 26.27 -1.37 0.91 45.41
3 A Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 13-14 -15.80 24.37 1.37 0.91 -6.58
3 A Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 10-13 -6.87 33.29 1.37 0.91 -2.51
3 H Coastal Caroli (10- 8, 81.1) 10- 6 -18.76 21.41 -1.37 0.91 36.55
3 H Queens ( 3-12, 76.7) 13- 8 -23.17 17.00 -1.37 0.91 28.50
3 A Delaware (13- 5, 87.5) 13-14 -12.38 27.78 1.37 0.91 -5.02
3 A Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 19- 7 -18.22 21.95 1.37 0.91 42.51
3 H Kennesaw State ( 8-10, 74.6) 19- 6 -25.29 14.88 -1.37 0.91 24.64
3 H Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 9-10 -5.99 34.18 -1.37 0.91 -3.35
3 A Austin Peay ( 4-13, 71.2) 21- 5 -28.67 11.49 1.37 0.91 23.45
3 A Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 11-12 -6.48 33.69 1.37 0.91 -2.33
3 H Lindenwood ( 8-11, 77.1) 14- 3 -22.77 17.40 -1.37 0.91 29.23
3 A Stetson ( 3-13, 75.5) 20- 6 -24.36 15.81 1.37 0.91 31.33
3 H Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 17- 3 -18.22 21.95 -1.37 0.91 37.52
3 H Delaware (13- 5, 87.5) 16-11 -12.38 27.78 -1.37 0.91 48.17
3 A Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 9-10 -5.99 34.18 1.37 0.91 -2.11
------
434.63
|
winning pts = 456.5347 losing points = -21.9038
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------